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climate-model-simulation-crashes

climate-model-simulation-crashes

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Author: D. Lucas, R. Klein, J. Tannahill, D. Ivanova, S. Brandon, D. Domyancic, Y. Zhang. Source: [UCI](https://archive.ics.uci.edu/ml/datasets/climate+model+simulation+crashes) Please Cite: Lucas, D. D., Klein, R., Tannahill, J., Ivanova, D., Brandon, S., Domyancic, D., and Zhang, Y.: Failure analysis of parameter-induced simulation crashes in climate models, Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., 6, 585-623, [Web Link](http://www.geosci-model-dev-discuss.net/6/585/2013/gmdd-6-585-2013.html), 2013. Source: D. Lucas (ddlucas .at. alum.mit.edu), Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory; R. Klein (rklein .at. astron.berkeley.edu), Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory & U.C. Berkeley; J. Tannahill (tannahill1 .at. llnl.gov), Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory; D. Ivanova (ivanova2 .at. llnl.gov), Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory; S. Brandon (brandon1 .at. llnl.gov), Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory; D. Domyancic (domyancic1 .at. llnl.gov), Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory; Y. Zhang (zhang24 .at. llnl.gov), Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory . This data was constructed using LLNL's UQ Pipeline, was created under the auspices of the US Department of Energy by Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory under Contract DE-AC52-07NA27344, was funded by LLNL's Uncertainty Quantification Strategic Initiative Laboratory Directed Research and Development Project under tracking code 10-SI-013, and is released under UCRL number LLNL-MISC-633994. Data Set Information: This dataset contains records of simulation crashes encountered during climate model uncertainty quantification (UQ) ensembles. Ensemble members were constructed using a Latin hypercube method in LLNL's UQ Pipeline software system to sample the uncertainties of 18 model parameters within the Parallel Ocean Program (POP2) component of the Community Climate System Model (CCSM4). Three separate Latin hypercube ensembles were conducted, each containing 180 ensemble members. 46 out of the 540 simulations failed for numerical reasons at combinations of parameter values. The goal is to use classification to predict simulation outcomes (fail or succeed) from input parameter values, and to use sensitivity analysis and feature selection to determine the causes of simulation crashes. Further details about the data and methods are given in the publication 'Failure Analysis of Parameter-Induced Simulation Crashes in Climate Models,' Geoscientific Model Development [(Web Link)](doi:10.5194/gmdd-6-585-2013). Attribute Information: The goal is to predict climate model simulation outcomes (column 21, fail or succeed) given scaled values of climate model input parameters (columns 3-20). - Column 1: Latin hypercube study ID (study 1 to study 3) - Column 2: simulation ID (run 1 to run 180) - Columns 3-20: values of 18 climate model parameters scaled in the interval [0, 1] - Column 21: simulation outcome (0 = failure, 1 = success) Relevant Papers: Lucas, D. D., Klein, R., Tannahill, J., Ivanova, D., Brandon, S., Domyancic, D., and Zhang, Y.: Failure analysis of parameter-induced simulation crashes in climate models, Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., 6, 585-623, [Web Link](http://www.geosci-model-dev-discuss.net/6/585/2013/gmdd-6-585-2013.html), 2013.

21 features

Class (target)nominal2 unique values
0 missing
V11numeric540 unique values
0 missing
V20numeric540 unique values
0 missing
V19numeric540 unique values
0 missing
V18numeric539 unique values
0 missing
V17numeric540 unique values
0 missing
V16numeric539 unique values
0 missing
V15numeric540 unique values
0 missing
V14numeric540 unique values
0 missing
V13numeric540 unique values
0 missing
V12numeric540 unique values
0 missing
V1numeric3 unique values
0 missing
V10numeric540 unique values
0 missing
V9numeric540 unique values
0 missing
V8numeric540 unique values
0 missing
V7numeric540 unique values
0 missing
V6numeric540 unique values
0 missing
V5numeric540 unique values
0 missing
V4numeric540 unique values
0 missing
V3numeric540 unique values
0 missing
V2numeric180 unique values
0 missing

107 properties

540
Number of instances (rows) of the dataset.
21
Number of attributes (columns) of the dataset.
2
Number of distinct values of the target attribute (if it is nominal).
0
Number of missing values in the dataset.
0
Number of instances with at least one value missing.
20
Number of numeric attributes.
1
Number of nominal attributes.
0.84
Average class difference between consecutive instances.
0.75
Area Under the ROC Curve achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.DecisionStump -E "weka.attributeSelection.CfsSubsetEval -P 1 -E 1" -S "weka.attributeSelection.BestFirst -D 1 -N 5" -W
0.09
Error rate achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.DecisionStump -E "weka.attributeSelection.CfsSubsetEval -P 1 -E 1" -S "weka.attributeSelection.BestFirst -D 1 -N 5" -W
0
Kappa coefficient achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.DecisionStump -E "weka.attributeSelection.CfsSubsetEval -P 1 -E 1" -S "weka.attributeSelection.BestFirst -D 1 -N 5" -W
0.8
Area Under the ROC Curve achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.bayes.NaiveBayes -E "weka.attributeSelection.CfsSubsetEval -P 1 -E 1" -S "weka.attributeSelection.BestFirst -D 1 -N 5" -W
0.12
Error rate achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.bayes.NaiveBayes -E "weka.attributeSelection.CfsSubsetEval -P 1 -E 1" -S "weka.attributeSelection.BestFirst -D 1 -N 5" -W
0.2
Kappa coefficient achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.bayes.NaiveBayes -E "weka.attributeSelection.CfsSubsetEval -P 1 -E 1" -S "weka.attributeSelection.BestFirst -D 1 -N 5" -W
0.63
Area Under the ROC Curve achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.lazy.IBk -E "weka.attributeSelection.CfsSubsetEval -P 1 -E 1" -S "weka.attributeSelection.BestFirst -D 1 -N 5" -W
0.13
Error rate achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.lazy.IBk -E "weka.attributeSelection.CfsSubsetEval -P 1 -E 1" -S "weka.attributeSelection.BestFirst -D 1 -N 5" -W
0.22
Kappa coefficient achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.lazy.IBk -E "weka.attributeSelection.CfsSubsetEval -P 1 -E 1" -S "weka.attributeSelection.BestFirst -D 1 -N 5" -W
0.42
Entropy of the target attribute values.
0.75
Area Under the ROC Curve achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.DecisionStump
0.09
Error rate achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.DecisionStump
0
Kappa coefficient achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.DecisionStump
0.04
Number of attributes divided by the number of instances.
Number of attributes needed to optimally describe the class (under the assumption of independence among attributes). Equals ClassEntropy divided by MeanMutualInformation.
0.5
Area Under the ROC Curve achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.J48 -C .00001
0.09
Error rate achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.J48 -C .00001
0
Kappa coefficient achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.J48 -C .00001
0.5
Area Under the ROC Curve achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.J48 -C .0001
0.09
Error rate achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.J48 -C .0001
0
Kappa coefficient achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.J48 -C .0001
0.5
Area Under the ROC Curve achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.J48 -C .001
0.09
Error rate achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.J48 -C .001
0
Kappa coefficient achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.J48 -C .001
91.48
Percentage of instances belonging to the most frequent class.
494
Number of instances belonging to the most frequent class.
Maximum entropy among attributes.
-1.2
Maximum kurtosis among attributes of the numeric type.
270.5
Maximum of means among attributes of the numeric type.
Maximum mutual information between the nominal attributes and the target attribute.
2
The maximum number of distinct values among attributes of the nominal type.
0
Maximum skewness among attributes of the numeric type.
156.03
Maximum standard deviation of attributes of the numeric type.
Average entropy of the attributes.
-1.22
Mean kurtosis among attributes of the numeric type.
18.58
Mean of means among attributes of the numeric type.
Average mutual information between the nominal attributes and the target attribute.
An estimate of the amount of irrelevant information in the attributes regarding the class. Equals (MeanAttributeEntropy - MeanMutualInformation) divided by MeanMutualInformation.
2
Average number of distinct values among the attributes of the nominal type.
0
Mean skewness among attributes of the numeric type.
10.69
Mean standard deviation of attributes of the numeric type.
Minimal entropy among attributes.
-1.5
Minimum kurtosis among attributes of the numeric type.
0.5
Minimum of means among attributes of the numeric type.
Minimal mutual information between the nominal attributes and the target attribute.
2
The minimal number of distinct values among attributes of the nominal type.
-0
Minimum skewness among attributes of the numeric type.
0.29
Minimum standard deviation of attributes of the numeric type.
8.52
Percentage of instances belonging to the least frequent class.
46
Number of instances belonging to the least frequent class.
0.85
Area Under the ROC Curve achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.bayes.NaiveBayes
0.11
Error rate achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.bayes.NaiveBayes
0.3
Kappa coefficient achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.bayes.NaiveBayes
1
Number of binary attributes.
4.76
Percentage of binary attributes.
0
Percentage of instances having missing values.
0
Percentage of missing values.
95.24
Percentage of numeric attributes.
4.76
Percentage of nominal attributes.
First quartile of entropy among attributes.
-1.2
First quartile of kurtosis among attributes of the numeric type.
0.5
First quartile of means among attributes of the numeric type.
First quartile of mutual information between the nominal attributes and the target attribute.
-0
First quartile of skewness among attributes of the numeric type.
0.29
First quartile of standard deviation of attributes of the numeric type.
Second quartile (Median) of entropy among attributes.
-1.2
Second quartile (Median) of kurtosis among attributes of the numeric type.
0.5
Second quartile (Median) of means among attributes of the numeric type.
Second quartile (Median) of mutual information between the nominal attributes and the target attribute.
-0
Second quartile (Median) of skewness among attributes of the numeric type.
0.29
Second quartile (Median) of standard deviation of attributes of the numeric type.
Third quartile of entropy among attributes.
-1.2
Third quartile of kurtosis among attributes of the numeric type.
0.5
Third quartile of means among attributes of the numeric type.
Third quartile of mutual information between the nominal attributes and the target attribute.
0
Third quartile of skewness among attributes of the numeric type.
0.29
Third quartile of standard deviation of attributes of the numeric type.
0.5
Area Under the ROC Curve achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.REPTree -L 1
0.09
Error rate achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.REPTree -L 1
0
Kappa coefficient achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.REPTree -L 1
0.5
Area Under the ROC Curve achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.REPTree -L 2
0.09
Error rate achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.REPTree -L 2
0
Kappa coefficient achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.REPTree -L 2
0.5
Area Under the ROC Curve achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.REPTree -L 3
0.09
Error rate achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.REPTree -L 3
0
Kappa coefficient achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.REPTree -L 3
0.66
Area Under the ROC Curve achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.RandomTree -depth 1
0.09
Error rate achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.RandomTree -depth 1
0
Kappa coefficient achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.RandomTree -depth 1
0.71
Area Under the ROC Curve achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.RandomTree -depth 2
0.09
Error rate achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.RandomTree -depth 2
0
Kappa coefficient achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.RandomTree -depth 2
0.75
Area Under the ROC Curve achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.RandomTree -depth 3
0.09
Error rate achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.RandomTree -depth 3
0.02
Kappa coefficient achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.trees.RandomTree -depth 3
0
Standard deviation of the number of distinct values among attributes of the nominal type.
0.52
Area Under the ROC Curve achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.lazy.IBk
0.14
Error rate achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.lazy.IBk
0.04
Kappa coefficient achieved by the landmarker weka.classifiers.lazy.IBk

25 tasks

99429 runs - estimation_procedure: 10-fold Crossvalidation - target_feature: Class
60811 runs - estimation_procedure: 10-fold Crossvalidation - target_feature: Class
1 runs - estimation_procedure: 5 times 2-fold Crossvalidation - target_feature: Class
0 runs - estimation_procedure: 33% Holdout set - evaluation_measure: predictive_accuracy - target_feature: Class
45 runs - estimation_procedure: 10-fold Learning Curve - target_feature: Class
0 runs - target_feature: Class
0 runs - estimation_procedure: 50 times Clustering
0 runs - estimation_procedure: 50 times Clustering
0 runs - estimation_procedure: 50 times Clustering
0 runs - estimation_procedure: 50 times Clustering
0 runs - estimation_procedure: 50 times Clustering
0 runs - estimation_procedure: 50 times Clustering
0 runs - estimation_procedure: 50 times Clustering
0 runs - estimation_procedure: 50 times Clustering
0 runs - estimation_procedure: 50 times Clustering
0 runs - estimation_procedure: 50 times Clustering
1303 runs - target_feature: Class
1301 runs - target_feature: Class
Define a new task